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The Kentucky Derby is under a week away, along with the Run for the Roses is shaping up for a more wide-open race in 2019. While fans and recreational race bettors revolve around the favorites, the professional players and bettors interested in a better payoff believe this will be the year a favorite does not win the Kentucky Derby.
KENTUCKY DERBY POST POSITIONS AND ODDS Post positions and opening chances were released on Tuesday morning. The first 20-horse field of 3-year-olds was made up from the Best 20 points earners during the 35 Derby prep races from September through April leading up to the Kentucky Derby on May 4.
Two horses — Omaha Beach and Haikal — were scratched this past week. Bodexpress substituted Omaha Beach from the Area.
Betting Odds Offered by TVG (Click here to get $20 Free, just for signing up!) BETTING THE KENTUCKY DERBY
Why is the Kentucky Derby such a excellent wagering opportunity? Beyond being a major event and the largest 3-year-old race in the world, the Derby is piled with a 20-horse field. Therefore a big betting pool with a great deal of uniform money is bet on the Kentucky Derby.Now while the favorites have won the previous six runnings of the Run for the Roses, these favorites have paid out pretty nicely between $6.60 and $12.80 on a $2 win bet. Nonetheless, it’s the opportunity for a big exacta, trifecta or superfecta score that brings more bettors out for the Derby.
When favorite Always Dreaming won in 2017, a $2 exacta with Lookin’ In Lee (33-1) returned $336.20. A $1 trifecta with Battle of Midway (40-1) in 3rd returned 8,297.20. And a $1 superfecta with Vintage Empire (6-1) at 4th compensated $75,974.50.
So, a significant score is potential in the Derby, and many recreational bettors will miss the potential midrange or long shots with a few potential and value to hit on the board.
ALSO READ: Exacta? Trifecta? How To Find Exotic In The Kentucky Derby
These three horses will take the most wagering activity and one of these will go off as the Kentucky Derby favorite:
Roadster: First place in Santa Anita Derby
Game Winner: Second place in Santa Anita Derby, Champion in 2-year-old and Breeders’ Cup Juvenile champion Improbable: Second Arkansas Derby
The next wave of contenders includes another four leading prep winners:
Tacitus: First Wood Memorial
Maximum Security: First Florida Derby
Vekoma: First Blue Grass
By My Standards: First Louisiana Derby
The rest of the two-thirds of this Derby area will provide some possible for a large score. Remember in the 2017 Kentucky Derby, Always Dreaming won with a clean trip and good post over a sloppy track, but super longshots at 33-1 and 40-1 finished third and second to trigger large exotic payouts.
Plus Que Parfait: First UAE Derby
Code of Honor: Third Florida Derby
War of Will: Ninth Louisiana Derby
Cutting Humor: First Sunland Derby
Tax: Second Wood Memorial
Win Win Win: Second Blue Grass
Country House: Third Arkansas Derby
Extended Range Toddy: Sixth Arkansas Derby
Spinoff: Second Louisiana Derby
Gray Magician: Second UAE Derby
Master Fencer: Second Fukuryu Stakes (Japan)
The 2019 Kentucky Derby will have the biggest bag in the Derby’s 145-year history of $3 million. The race-day favorite at post period has won the Kentucky Derby six years in a row, such as in 2018 if Justify won the Run for the Roses on his way to Triple Crown glory. American Pharoah (2015) was also a Triple Crown winner, snapping the long 37-year drought without a Triple Crown winner.KENTUCKY DERBY TIPS
Beyond having some places to bet on the Kentucky Derby like top online sites TVG, TwinSpires and BetAmerica, start looking for sportsbooks that provide more Derby betting options like head-to-head matchup wagering. As more legal sports books enter the marketplace in america, such as FanDuel Sportsbook, DraftKings Sportsbook and PointsBet, you’ll also see these sportsbooks get more creative and offer special offerings and promotions on large events like the Kentucky Derby.
In handicapping and preparing to the Kentucky Derby, you can be more informed and have a better chance to win if you follow some simple tips from pros like Mike Shutty; writer of Super Screener and founder of Horse Racing Nation.
Learn How to project the pace of the race
Form cycle investigation — look at contenders type cycle
Workout analysis — last workouts before Derby
While we wait patiently for the Derby draw, closing workouts and track state, some early indications are that a horse in mid odds like Tacitus is obviously capable of winning the 2019 Kentucky Derby.
Longshots such as Spinoff or Maximum Security can not be ruled out on the triumph or Top 3 finish, while By My Standards is just another possible under kind horse which could offer a big payoff even if the projected favorite Roadster were to continue improvement and run well to triumph.
Mike Smith, who street Justify into a Kentucky Derby victory and Triple Crown achievement, has elected to ride Omaha Beach rather than Roadster.

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